Monday, May 4, 2015

Noose tightens around Assad's neck - Dr. Reuven Berko



by Dr. Reuven Berko

The Syrian army, which cultivated terrorist organizations in order to harm Israel, has found itself fighting the very monsters it raised in its back yard. The nightmare scenarios it wished on the Israel Defense Forces have become the Syrian military's reality

The issue of the "Syrian regime in the clutches of Ifrit" -- an infernal jinn of Islam -- is expected to be the topic of the day on Tuesday at Al Jazeera, as the Qatari television station seeks to delve into the question of whether all Alawis should be made to pay for the sins of President Bashar Assad's regime.

Al Jazeera is gearing up for the Syrian regime's demise, and it seems the vultures are circling the carcass.

The Syrian army, which cultivated terrorist organizations in order to harm Israel, has found itself fighting the very monsters it raised in its back yard. The nightmare scenarios it wished on the Israel Defense Forces have become the Syrian military's reality, serving as a lesson for terrorists worldwide on how to fight a cumbersome, dying military giant. 

Hamas operatives training in Syria had hoped to use the same model against Israel -- that is until they met the IDF's crushing response during Operation Protective Edge. 

The organizations fighting Assad are a collection of sectarian Islamic terrorist groups, which are at odds with each other as much as they are with the regime.

Nevertheless, these groups have been able to strike the Syrian army, negate its comparative advantage in the field, seize its strongholds, deplete its munitions, and kill many of its soldiers, mostly Alawis and Hezbollah operatives, and they have managed to do so despite the support lent to Assad's regime by Iran and Russia. 

It is difficult to monitor the chaos in Syria. The battles raging over control of various key cities reflect the gradual collapse of the regime, which is losing the territorial continuity it needs to maintain nationwide supply routes. All Assad has left is a loose grip on Damascus, the port cities, and the northeastern Qalamoun Mountains, where the Syrian-Lebanese border, which is used as the last supply routes to Hezbollah, runs.

The situation in Syria has the markings of the final battle, and the regime is acting like a wounded animal, lashing out at the Syrian people and whatever is left of the country's infrastructure. Assad knows his actions cannot change his inevitable defeat, and reports coming out of Damascus portray his actions as frantic, panicked, conflicted, and exhausted. 

Despite the thousands of fatalities and millions of refugees the civil war has caused, Assad maintains that he is Syria's legitimate ruler, although some signs may indicate that the unrelenting president is willing to negotiate a solution to the prolonged conflict.

Anyone following the Syrian media cannot help but be impressed by the wonders of its photomontages: Studio interviews with government officials are held against images of lush gardens and sunny skies, in a bid to inspire soporific idyll. In reality, government buildings and strategic sites are under constant rebel fire, and the regime is employing every instrument of destruction at its disposal against civilians, despite knowing it will do little to halt the progress of the Sunni Islamic organizations.

It is hard to keep track of the number of terrorist organizations currently trying to clobber Assad's army to death, and anyone trying to do so could quite literally lose their head. The main groups in play are the Nusra Front and the Islamic State group; some rebel groups seek to install an Islamic caliphate in Syria, while others see it as an emirate, or a separate national territory. 

These groups have no love lost between them, but they share one common goal: They all wish to topple Assad and claim Syria for themselves.

The rebels' achievements in the Syrian periphery have prompted an effort by the regime to slow their progress through suburbs of Damascus, so to evacuate regime officials' families from the area, and move them west. But rebel forces are now threatening the coastal city of Latakia, using its surrounding maintains for cover. 

Assad still controls Aleppo, but signs of a hasty retreat have become evident there, as well. The geographic noose placed around the Assad's neck has made the Qalamoun Mountains on the Syria-Lebanon border the regime and Hezbollah's last lifeline, and together with the Lebanese army, they are gearing to try and stem the Islamist flood.

Meanwhile, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar are providing the Islamists with funds and weapons, and the American strikes against Islamic State in Iraq are actually bolstering the group's position toward Assad, who is Iran's lackey. The fact that Syria is about to plunge deeper into chaos has the U.S. rethinking whether Assad's case is one of better the devil you know. Heaven help us.


Dr. Reuven Berko

Source: http://www.israelhayom.com/site/newsletter_opinion.php?id=12449

Copyright - Original materials copyright (c) by the authors.

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